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Cuba's humanitarian crisis worsens as U.S. talks stall

As the Cuban government resists Trump's escalating pressure for regime change, Cubans are facing a worsening humanitarian crisis. Why it matters: Prolonged blackouts due to limited fuel supply are disrupting essential services, making even basic tasks — like cooking — difficult or impossible. State of play: Fuel shortages have gripped the country since the U.S. captured former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in January, stripping Cuba of its key oil provider for the island's nearly 11 million residents. Residents have struggled to keep refrigerators running, leaving depleted food stockpiles to rot, and about 1 million Cubans lack reliable access to water because delivery trucks don't have enough diesel, according to the UN. The crisis has delayed over 96,000 surgeries, and officials have paused the childhood immunization program for newborns. Inside the room: An advisor close to Trump tells Axios' Marc Caputo that the president's approach to toppling the Cuban government is "classic Trump." "Push your enemy off balance. It's pressure, watch the response, apply more pressure, watch the response, apply more pressure." What is slowing the process is that, unlike the Maduro operation, Trump hasn't picked any successors in the Cuban government. The island's transition away from one-person rule 30 years ago means removing Castro wouldn't necessarily collapse the regime. Nonetheless, another official says that as sweltering summer temperatures gradually increase suffering on the island, the president may feel compelled to do something more drastic to alleviate the humanitarian crisis. What they're saying: "[The conditions worsen] on a day-to-day basis, without any visible possibility of improvement," Sebastian Arcos, Interim Director for the Institute for Cuban Studies, tells Axios. "It's a terrible, terrible situation that, honestly, I don't think it can take another six months. It cannot take another three months." The bottom line: Diplomacy continues, but Cubans are

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Scoop: U.S. and Iran reach deal but need Trump's final approval, officials say

U.S. and Iranian negotiators have reached an agreement on a 60-day memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire and launch negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, but President Trump has yet to give his final approval, two U.S. officials and a regional source involved in the mediation efforts tell Axios. Why it matters: The signing of the MOU would be the most significant diplomatic breakthrough since the war started, but a final agreement that tackles Trump's nuclear demands would still require further intensive negotiations. "This is an agreement to get everybody to the table. We will work out the details in the negotiations," one of the U.S. officials said Behind the scenes: U.S. officials said terms of the deal were mostly agreed to as of Tuesday, but both sides still needed approval from senior leadership. The U.S. officials claimed the Iranians later came back and said they had the necessary approvals and were prepared to sign. Iran has not confirmed that. The U.S. negotiators briefed Trump on the details of the final deal, but he did not immediately sign off. "The president relayed to the mediators that he wants a couple of days to think about it," a U.S. official said. Flashback: Trump and his advisers thought they were close to a deal several times at earlier stages in the war, but talked repeatedly stalled. Zoom in: The U.S. officials said the 60-day MOU will state that shipping through the Strait of Hormuz will be "unrestricted." A U.S. official said this means no tolls and no harassment and that Iran will have to remove all mines from the strait within 30 days. The U.S. naval blockade will also be lifted, but that will happen in proportion to the restoration of commercial shipping, a U.S. official said. The MOU will include an Iranian commitment not to pursue a nuclear weapon, the officials said. It will also state that the first issues to be negotiated during the 60-day window will be how to dispose of Iran's highly enriched uranium and how to ad

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